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Calculated Risk

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ABI: Personal Bankruptcy Filings up 41 Percent Compared to Sept 2008

Oct 2, 2009
From the American Bankruptcy Institute: Consumer Bankruptcy Filings Surge Past One Million During First Nine Months of 2009 Consumer bankruptcies totaled 1,046,449 filings through the first nine months of 2009 (Jan. 1-Sept. 30), the first time since ...

MBA: 30 Year Mortgage Rate Falls to 4.94 Percent

Sep 30, 2009
The MBA reports: Mortgage Applications Decrease. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 2.8 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier.

Record 13.2 Percent of Mortgage Loans in Foreclosure or Delinquent in Q2

Aug 20, 2009
From the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA): Delinquencies Continue to Climb, Foreclosures Flat in Latest MBA National Delinquency Survey The delinquency rate for mortgage loans on one-to-four-unit residential properties rose to a seasonally adjusted...

Retail Sales Decline Slightly in July

Aug 13, 2009
On a monthly basis, retail sales decreased 0.1% from June to July (seasonally adjusted), and sales are off 8.3% from July 2008 (retail ex food services decreased 9.3%). The following graph shows the year-over-year change in nominal and real retail ...

Taylor, Bean & Whitaker Suspended by FHA

Aug 4, 2009
The Federal Housing Administration (FHA) today suspended Taylor, Bean and Whitaker Mortgage Corporation (TBW) of Ocala, Florida, thereby preventing the Company from originating and underwriting new FHA-insured mortgages.

Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims: 512,000

Nov 5, 2009
The DOL reports weekly unemployment insurance claims decreased to 512,000:In the week ending Oct. 31, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 512,000, a decrease of 20,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 532,000. The...

Politicians Pressuring Regulators on Banks

Nov 4, 2009
Repeating the errors from the S&L crisis ... Last Friday, the Chicago Tribune reported: Regulators seize FBOP banks The Park National shutdown occurred after several Illinois congressmen, including Reps. Bobby Rush and Danny Davis and Sen. Roland...

FHA Delays Fiscal Report

Nov 4, 2009
From Diana Golobay at HousingWire: FHA Delays Yearly Fiscal Report over ‘Accuracy’ of Methodology A US Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) spokeswoman indicated hours before the scheduled release that the report would not be completed...

ISM and Employment: Manufacturing Gives, Service Takes Away

Nov 4, 2009
Earlier this week there was some discussion about the increase in the ISM Manufacturing employment index. ISM's Employment Index registered 53.1 percent in October, which is 6.9 percentage points higher than the 46.2 percent reported in September. This...

FOMC Statement: Low Rates for Extended Period

Nov 4, 2009
Some people thought that the Fed might change the "extended period" statement, or the "economic activity ... to remain weak for a time". No change to those statements. Note: I doubt the Fed will raise rates for a long time. From the Fed: Information...


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