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Calculated Risk

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ABI: Personal Bankruptcy Filings up 41 Percent Compared to Sept 2008

Oct 2, 2009
From the American Bankruptcy Institute: Consumer Bankruptcy Filings Surge Past One Million During First Nine Months of 2009 Consumer bankruptcies totaled 1,046,449 filings through the first nine months of 2009 (Jan. 1-Sept. 30), the first time since ...

MBA: 30 Year Mortgage Rate Falls to 4.94 Percent

Sep 30, 2009
The MBA reports: Mortgage Applications Decrease. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 2.8 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier.

Record 13.2 Percent of Mortgage Loans in Foreclosure or Delinquent in Q2

Aug 20, 2009
From the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA): Delinquencies Continue to Climb, Foreclosures Flat in Latest MBA National Delinquency Survey The delinquency rate for mortgage loans on one-to-four-unit residential properties rose to a seasonally adjusted...

Retail Sales Decline Slightly in July

Aug 13, 2009
On a monthly basis, retail sales decreased 0.1% from June to July (seasonally adjusted), and sales are off 8.3% from July 2008 (retail ex food services decreased 9.3%). The following graph shows the year-over-year change in nominal and real retail ...

Taylor, Bean & Whitaker Suspended by FHA

Aug 4, 2009
The Federal Housing Administration (FHA) today suspended Taylor, Bean and Whitaker Mortgage Corporation (TBW) of Ocala, Florida, thereby preventing the Company from originating and underwriting new FHA-insured mortgages.

Report: Fed asks Big Banks for TARP Repayment Plans

Nov 23, 2009
From Bloomberg: Fed Said to Ask Banks to Submit Plans to Repay TARP (ht MrM) The central bank this month asked Bank of America Corp. and eight other banks to. ... Together the nine banks have received about $142 billion in TARP funds ... The banks in...

Moody's: Credit Card Delinquencies Rise

Nov 23, 2009
From Bloomberg: Late Card Payments Rose in October, Moody’s Reports Loans at least 30 days overdue, a signal of future defaults, rose to 6.12 percent in October from 5.97 percent in September, Moody’s said ... defaults fell last month to 10.04...

Existing Home Sales: Distressing Gap

Nov 23, 2009
After the expected spike in existing home sales last month, I quoted legendary basketball coach John Wooden:"Never mistake activity for achievement." It is worth repeating this month. First, it is important to remember that existing home sales are...

Existing Home Sales Graphs

Nov 23, 2009
Here is another way to look at existing homes sales: Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted (NSA): This graph shows NSA monthly existing home sales for 2005 through 2009. For the fifth consecutive month, sales were higher in 2009 than in 2008. And for...

Existing Home Sales increase sharply in October

Nov 23, 2009
The NAR reports: Existing-Home Sales Record Another Big Gain, Inventories Continue to Shrink Existing-home sales – including single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops – surged 10.1 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate1 of 6.10...


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