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Capital Markets & Economic Analysis

For professional and individual investors who desire top quality, conflict free analysis of the capital markets and the economy based on the fundamentals and technicals that drive securities prices
Capital Markets & Economic Analysis Blog  
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Stock Market -- Niggly Stuff

Nov 24, 2009
1. The Value Line Arithmetic Index -- 1700+ stocks, not cap. weighted ($VLE) -- has been a stock market leader for a decade now. So, it is with concern that the weekly chart has turned down and is even sporting a short term head / shoulders pattern...

Stock Market -- Fundamentals

Nov 20, 2009
Core fundamentals -- monetary liquidity, short term rates, medium quality bond yields, market confidence measures -- remain positive. Earnings indicators are positive, although the weekly lead measures have started to flatten out. Secondarily, there...

Gold -- Good Luck With It

Nov 18, 2009
Gold entered a price mania in early 2006. There have been frothy price moves up in 2006, 2008, and again this year, when gold closed above the $1100 oz. mark. By my analysis, we have not yet seen a classic bubble in the price. Gold is now strongly...

Stock Market Comment

Nov 13, 2009
The market has done a bit better than I expected over the past couple of weeks, and it is tougher to make the case that a classic price consolidation is underway. The major concerns I have had since mid - Sept. have been the 60% + move and whether...

Gold -- Overbought Developing

Nov 12, 2009
Gold has been on a tear since taking out the $1000 oz. resistance level. Given the much increased volatility of the gold price since 2005, you have to be ready to encounter the occasional dramatic overbought / oversold condition in the market, and you...


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