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Dead Cats Bouncing

Musings on the markets. Analysis and interpretation of the latest global financial market trends and investment themes.
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Gold Rising on Insolvency Risk, not Inflation...

Nov 18, 2009
<span style="font-family: Georgia, "Times New Roman", serif;">In one way, gold's surge to $1150 simply reflects the tidal wave of excess liquidity that is lifting all asset prices from US junk bonds to the most obscure emerging market indices. That...

Healthcare Costs Devouring US Growth Prospects...

Nov 12, 2009
<span style="font-family: Georgia, "Times New Roman", serif;">Total annualized US domestic savings have fallen from their peak of $2.2 trillion dollars in the third quarter of 2006 to just $1.4 trillion on the latest Fed data. That represents a drop...

US Shale Gas Challenges Oil...

Nov 5, 2009
<span style="font-family: Georgia, "Times New Roman", serif;">There is only one energy source in the world right now with declining marginal production costs, soaring reserves and extraction rates, and compelling cost competitiveness with crude oil....

The Dollar Bear Trade is Dangerously Crowded...

Oct 22, 2009
<span style="font-family: Georgia, "Times New Roman", serif;">A bearish frenzy has developed in the US dollar, and is probably the strongest consensus I've seen since the bullish stampede in oil futures crashed last Summer. With publicity hungry...

Japan: Who will Switch the Lights Off?

Oct 14, 2009
<span style="font-family: Georgia, "Times New Roman", serif;">I wrote several times in 2008 on Japan's secular economic decline, determined by the developed world's worst demographic outlook. Over the next 20 years, the workforce will decline by 20%....


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