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Sabernomics

Economic thinking about baseball.
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You Can't Blame Frenchy for the Braves Woes... Or Can You?

Aug 26, 2008
One thing that amazed me during the writing was how much Jeff Francoeur hurt the Braves this season. The Braves have only been outscored 612-590; they should be around a .500 team, not a .435 team...

Friday Links

Nov 20, 2009
— My latest Huffington Post column is now up. I discuss why Wins shouldn’t be used to evaluate pitchers. So, kudos to Law and Carroll for using the right criteria for making their Cy Young picks. It’s fine to disagree with their choices, but the...

Cubs Sign Grabow

Nov 19, 2009
According to the Gordon Wittenmyer of the Chicago Sun-Times, the Cubs have agreed to a contract extension with John Grabow. It’s being reported to be for two years and for a total of “at least $7 million.” I’ve got him worth about $4 million over that...

On Other Methods for Estimating Aging

Nov 19, 2009
My recent posts on my aging study have received a fair amount of criticism. There is no doubt that my study is imperfect, but all empirical researchers must make tradeoffs when selecting samples or choosing estimators. Small samples are sometimes...

More on Player Aging

Nov 17, 2009
Phil Birnbaum has a new theory as to why I’m wrong (I suspect it won’t be his last), and he links to others who think I’ve made the same mistake. This time, my sample is the problem. By choosing a sample of players from 24 — 35 with a minimum of 10...

How Do Players Age?

Nov 16, 2009
The last hot stove myth that I previously wrote about has to do with player aging. Players peak at 27 and old players are worthless — Players peak at 29 — 30. And just because a guy is past his peak doesn’t mean he’s not valuable. The aging...

You Can't Blame Frenchy for the Braves Woes... Or Can You?



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