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The Aleph Blog  
At my blog there are two main purposes: teaching investors about better investing through risk control, and tying all of the markets into a coherent whole.
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5.6
average
based on editor's review
2 user reviews 10.0


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Efficient Markets as a Limiting Concept; There are Conceptual Limits to Efficient Markets

Jul 4, 2009
I do and don’t believe in the efficient markets hypothesis.   The efficient markets hypothesis posits that: Past public information can’t be used to obtain better-than-average returns. (weak form of the EMH — cuts against technicians) Past and...

Correlation Does Not Imply Causation; A Study of Sector Correlations

Jul 2, 2009
There was an interesting post on Bloomberg regarding asset class correlations, and a lot of blogs wrote about it, including Abnormal Returns, which did a nice summary, and expanded the argument to university endowments.  Part of the issue here is that...

Overleverage, and a Failure of Credit

Jun 30, 2009
Just a brief post here.  The Economist features a simple symmetric model to try to explain cycles in the financial markets.  Cute model, but it can’t explain booms and busts.  The key missing feature is credit that can default.  Defaults are...

The Benefits of Dumb Regulation

Jun 29, 2009
Apologies to readers.  I have been gone last week at my denomination’s annual meeting.  As I often say at this time of year, I never work harder than at that time, so please forgive my lack of posts.  As it is now, I am worn out, but at least I am...

A Redacted Copy of the June FOMC Statement

Jun 24, 2009
April 2009 June 2009 Comments Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in March indicates that the economy has continued to contract, though the pace of contraction appears to be somewhat slower. Information received since...


Comments & Reviews:


Chris O.
10.0
superb
  Wow, I don't even think the editor read this blog. David Merkel has one of the most intelligent, informative, and balanced financial blogs on the internet. There are only two blogs I check every day and one of them is the Aleph Blog.
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Posted 5/11/08 3:05 AM


a m.
10.0
superb
  David Merkel is one of the most knowledgable commentators on the markets. The breadth and depth of the commentary is almost unique - you probably won't get opinions of the same quality on accounting, bonds, currency, macroeconomics, and stocks from any other single source.
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Posted 5/10/08 3:05 AM