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The Coming Black Swan

Thoughts on Identity, Risk, Black Swans, and the Future of America.
The Coming Black Swan Blog  
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Coming to a Country Near You?

Nov 10, 2009
We don't profess to know the future, but we think it would be a Black Swan if the Federal courts don't end up imposing same sex marriage on the nation via judical fiat. It's what Obama is angling for, and both the Roe v. Wade decision and the Lawrence...

Why the Coming Nationalization of Same Sex Marriage Will Be So Dangerous

Nov 10, 2009
Kathryn Jean Lopez of National Review published the following email from a 26-year-old regarding the social pressure to accept same sex marriage. Notice how both the identity issue and the contempt question come up: Your article about marriage...

The Confounding Competing Identity Protests Obama

Nov 10, 2009
America was founded on a view of human identity which said that we are all made in the image and likeness of God. Unfortunately, at the same time there existed a confounding competing identity, which said that human identity was to be viewed primarily...

Gingrich Gets It!

Nov 10, 2009
a Gingrich and Ronald Reagan in 1985. Hooray for Newt Gingrich! Notice the following from the Washington Post: The former speaker, his eye on a 2012 presidential run, said that as he thought more about the felling of the Wall 20 years ago Monday,...

A Tragic Failure to Deploy Black Swan Thinking

Nov 9, 2009
U.S. intelligence agencies were aware months ago that Army Major Nidal Hasan was attempting to make contact with people associated with al Qaeda, two American officials briefed on classified material in the case told ABC News. It is not known...


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