Edward H.

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News from around the web: 2009-12-02

Edward H. posted an article on - 59 minutes ago
Treating toddlers for autism boosts IQ later – New Scientist Goldman Gets All The Attention. Does J.P. Morgan Get a Free Pass? – Deal Journal – WSJ Roubini’s Bubbles Float on Fli...
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Get your war on

Edward H. posted an article on - Dec 2, 2009, 9:38 am
Remember when the war in Afghanistan began 8 years ago?
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Americans say forget about works programs and go for protectionism

Edward H. posted an article on - Dec 2, 2009, 8:59 am
The most recent Gallup Poll on what Americans think is the best way to create jobs is a bit disheartening because it flies in the face of basic economics. Protectionism is the number one way Americans...
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Fritz Henderson gone as head of GM

Edward H. posted an article on - Dec 1, 2009, 4:53 pm
I wonder if the recent missteps with Opel and Saab had anything to do with this.
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Wither stimulus

Edward H. posted an article on - Dec 1, 2009, 4:06 pm
This comes via the Wall Street Journal: Highway-construction companies around the country, having completed the mostly small projects paid for by the federal economic-stimulus package, are starting t...
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More bullish data from manufacturing

Edward H. posted an article on - Dec 1, 2009, 3:52 pm
The latest ISM numbers are in for the U.S., showing that the manufacturing sector expanded for a fourth consecutive month in November. The overall number was weaker in November at 53.6 than last month...
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Nationwide: UK house prices up for seventh straight month

Edward H. posted an article on - Dec 1, 2009, 3:30 pm
House prices in Britain rose another 0.5% in November, putting them up 2.7% year-on-year. This is the seventh consecutive month of gains. All of the charts are looking spectacularly good. The only fly...
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John Hussman on Reckless Myopia

Edward H. posted an article on - Dec 1, 2009, 2:56 pm
Below is another great article from John Mauldin via his weekly newsletter, this time featuring John Hussman who is talking double dip and depression. My last post shows I am very concerned about this...
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News from this day in 1930: "the decline is nearing its end"

Edward H. posted an article on - Dec 1, 2009, 1:53 pm
From the site News from 1930: National City Bank notes epidemic of bank failures, and that “processes of deflation operate in a vicious circle” but is nevertheless optimistic: “obviously this s...
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On the sovereign debt crisis and the debt servicing cost mentality

Edward H. posted an article on - Dec 1, 2009, 11:27 am
Given the spate of articles in the business press about this country or that country facing a potential debt crisis, I wanted to write a bit about sovereign debt crises. In my view, economic stimulu...
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Unemployment claims lowest in 15 months

Edward H. posted an article on - Nov 25, 2009, 10:01 am
Unemployment claims dropped dramatically to 466,000 this past week. This is the best data on the unemployment front we have seen in a long time. The prior week’s claims were also downwardly revised ...
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New York to use eminent domain to build a basketball stadium

Edward H. posted an article on - Nov 25, 2009, 9:05 am
The New York State Court of Appeals has ruled that the Atlantic Yards basketball project can go forward as planned, dislocating the residents in the Brooklyn, NY area where the stadium is to be built.
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A music video primer on the destructive powers of Alan Greenspan

Edward H. posted an article on - Nov 24, 2009, 3:53 pm
Here’s a nice little music video on Alan Greenspan and all that he has wrought. Hat tip Scott. Share and Enjoy: Readers who viewed this page, also viewed:Meredith Whitn...
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Case-Shiller Home Price Index up for 5th time, but cracks showing

Edward H. posted an article on - Nov 24, 2009, 2:54 pm
The Case-Shiller Home Price Index has increased yet again. This marks the fifth consecutive monthly increase in house prices in the United States. Prices are now only 11.3% lower in the Composite-10 c...
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GM's sale of Saab collapses

Edward H. posted an article on - Nov 24, 2009, 11:59 am
From Reuters: A deal by General Motors Co GM.UL to sell its Saab brand collapsed on Tuesday when the buyer pulled out in a move that threatens the Swedish luxury brand with closure. GM had been aimi...
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News from around the web: 2009-11-24

Edward H. posted an article on - Nov 24, 2009, 11:04 am
Fed asks U.S. banks to submit TARP repayment plans | Reuters FT.com – Obama knows chest-thumping and China don’t mix BBC News – US consumer confidence edges up but remains subdued Gal...
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Goldilocks is not sleeping in America anymore; she's now in China

Edward H. posted an article on - Nov 24, 2009, 9:19 am
Remember the fabled Goldilocks economy that we had during the Great Moderation: A Goldilocks economy is a not too hot or cold economy, sustaining moderate economic growth and a low inflation allowing...
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British regulators disclose terms of emergency aid during panic of 2008

Edward H. posted an article on - Nov 24, 2009, 8:28 am
The Financial Times reports that British regulators have now opened up to reveal more of the details surrounding the emergency aid banks received during the most acute periods of stress to date in the...
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Third quarter growth now 2.8%, much lower than original estimate

Edward H. posted an article on - Nov 24, 2009, 7:53 am
Bonds like this. Let’s see how the stock market reacts to this. Pre-market data show no big moves. From the BEA: Real gross domestic product — the output of goods and services produced by l...
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The Kanjorski Amendment Trojan Horse and Prompt Corrective Action

Edward H. posted an article on - Nov 23, 2009, 10:41 pm
Two weeks ago as the Financial Reform Bill was wending its way through Congress, Paul Kanjorski emerged as the champion of breaking up too-big-to-fail financial institutions.
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Quelle Surprise! Most Big Banks Lack Capital

Edward H. posted an article on - Nov 23, 2009, 7:49 pm
My post title is an ode to Yves Smith, who likes to feign surprise when the blindingly obvious finally comes into plain view for all to see. The latest sign that underneath the surface weakness remain...
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Predatory lending local government version

Edward H. posted an article on - Nov 23, 2009, 6:55 pm
This story is on the front page of Business Week: Detroit Mayor Dave Bing is struggling to save his city from fiscal calamity. Unemployment is at a record 28% and rising, while home prices have plung...
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Waiting in the unemployment line

Edward H. posted an article on - Nov 23, 2009, 4:09 pm
Hat tip Prieur du Plessis. Share and Enjoy: Readers who viewed this page, also viewed:News from around the web: 2009-11-23Barack Obama: “if we keep on adding to the debt&h...
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News from around the web: 2009-11-23

Edward H. posted an article on - Nov 23, 2009, 3:42 pm
Bruce Krasting: FDIC on REO Sales: Keep’em in the Dark! Greece tests the limit of sovereign debt as it grinds towards slump – Telegraph Economist’s View: "What if a Recovery Is All...
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On debt monetization

Edward H. posted an article on - Nov 23, 2009, 2:57 pm
This is a pretty wonkish post but I hope you appreciate the concepts presented. I made some allusions to modern monetary theory in a recent post when I asked, “If the U.S. stopped issuing treasurie...
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A few thoughts about the limitations of government

Edward H. posted an article on - Nov 23, 2009, 12:09 pm
In this post: A few thoughts about the limitations of government Our founding fathers How large should government be? How policy helps frame the debate Where we are headed In a ...
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Borders on the verge of bankruptcy

Edward H. posted an article on - Nov 23, 2009, 8:46 am
After British chain WHSmith backed out of a deal with Borders, the U.S. megastore bookseller is desperately looking to stave off bankruptcy and Chapter 7 liquidation. I love Borders and have been an...
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GM's phony taxpayer repayment

Edward H. posted an article on - Nov 23, 2009, 8:06 am
This comes via Deal Book at the New York Times. The company’s chief executive, Fritz Henderson, called the repayment plan “a personal commitment.” The Obama administration, wardens of the 60 pe...
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News from around the web: 2009-11-22

Edward H. posted an article on - Nov 22, 2009, 4:50 pm
FT.com – Could sovereign debt be the new subprime? (Excess reserves are one reason to buy Treasuries) Kathleen Parker – Kathleen Parker: Judging Sarah Palin by her covers – washingt...
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SNL's alternative Obama-Hu press conference reality

Edward H. posted an article on - Nov 22, 2009, 8:38 am
Saturday Night Live’s China-U.S. press conference is pure comedy. It captures the Zeitgeist pretty well. The Mrs. Obama part at the end, though, was way over-the-top
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News from around the web: 2009-11-21

Edward H. posted an article on - Nov 21, 2009, 11:42 am
The deficit problem: Dealing with America’s fiscal hole | The Economist The Washington establishment suffers a serious defeat – Glenn Greenwald – Salon.com Fed Beaten: Bill To Audi...
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Where the wild things are

Edward H. posted an article on - Nov 21, 2009, 7:00 am
Below is another great article from John Mauldin via his weekly newsletter. John Mauldin, Best-Selling author and recognized financial expert, is also editor of the free Thoughts From the Frontline t...
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Stop the madness now!

Edward H. posted an article on - Nov 20, 2009, 3:16 pm
This is a post I just wrote over at Yves Smith’s site Naked Capitalism in response to a reader request. Marshall Auerback has already written a reply as well and I will post this later today. A rea...
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Obama job approval now below 50%

Edward H. posted an article on - Nov 20, 2009, 12:58 pm
This comes via Gallup: The latest Gallup Daily tracking results show 49% of Americans approving of the job Barack Obama is doing as president, putting him below the majority approval level for the fi...
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Morgan Stanley expects 10-year yields to rise 220 bps in 2010

Edward H. posted an article on - Nov 20, 2009, 10:06 am
Morgan Stanley’s piece on Treasuries Priced for Perfection…for Now! is pretty bearish. The basic gist is that while the ten-year represents fair value today, because inflation expectations hav...
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Largest U.S. refiner Valero now permanently shutting capacity

Edward H. posted an article on - Nov 20, 2009, 8:55 am
Valero Energy has just announced it is shutting down its Delaware City Refinery.
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News from around the web: 2009-11-20

Edward H. posted an article on - Nov 20, 2009, 7:50 am
Nationwide Says British House Prices May Fall on Job Losses – Bloomberg.com Investors ask Goldman to be less greedy: report | Reuters BBC News – Tobacco firm Philip Morris to pay out $30...
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Bill Gross: "I think unemployment is here to stay"

Edward H. posted an article on - Nov 20, 2009, 7:14 am
Video embedded below Share and Enjoy: Readers who viewed this page, also viewed:Marc Faber: I advise every American to hold his gold outside of the United StatesIs the State of...
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Ivy Zelman: "Home prices are going back down"

Edward H. posted an article on - Nov 20, 2009, 12:22 am
The Mortgage Bankers Association is reporting that nearly one in ten households with mortgages are at least one payment behind.
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Gross isn't buying corporates, high yield or equities even with zero rates

Edward H. posted an article on - Nov 19, 2009, 3:59 pm
I pick up Bill Gross where I left him on Friday.
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What would an alternative to bailouts have looked like?

Edward H. posted an article on - Nov 19, 2009, 2:33 pm
I have written extensively about how I believe the bank bailouts were the worst of all possible solutions – fixes that perpetuate too big to fail, moral hazard and crony capitalism.
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Tim Geithner defends himself before Congress

Edward H. posted an article on - Nov 19, 2009, 1:59 pm
Video embedded below. See also Democratic Rep. DeFazio Calls for Geithner and Summers to Be Fired – Yves Smith Share and Enjoy: Readers who viewed this page, also view...
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If the U.S. stopped issuing treasuries, would it go broke?

Edward H. posted an article on - Nov 19, 2009, 12:04 pm
Here’s another interesting piece from Randall Wray, the economics professor from University of Missouri-Kansas City (that same school which employs Bill Black of “The Best Way to Rob a bank is to ...
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News from around the web: 2009-11-19

Edward H. posted an article on - Nov 19, 2009, 10:12 am
The Rise and Fall of Empires – Paul Kedrosky (cool visual) FT Alphaville – A Minskian roadmap to the next gold mania At Failed Banks, Post-Mortems Disclose Excessive, Yet Obvious, Risk &...
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The slow but inexorable decline of jobless claims

Edward H. posted an article on - Nov 19, 2009, 9:02 am
Initial jobless claims for the past week were 505,000, tied with last week for the lowest since January. This brings the 4-week average down to 514,000, the lowest since November of last year and the ...
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Apple: Can it stop the Android menace?

Edward H. posted an article on - Nov 19, 2009, 8:07 am
I want to take a break from banking and macro stuff and talk a little bit about technology. I wrote an article about Android a few weeks back. That was a more personal account on why I was switching f...
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Steve Keen: Debt and the economy – how do we pay for all of this?

Edward H. posted an article on - Nov 18, 2009, 3:38 pm
Hat tip Rolfe Winkler. Share and Enjoy: Readers who viewed this page, also viewed:Dilbert on the asset-based economyMeredith Whitney: “I haven’t been this bearish in...
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The small bank – big bank dichotomy

Edward H. posted an article on - Nov 18, 2009, 2:16 pm
After a huge fall off in credit consistent with the fall in nominal GDP, we are seeing credit stabilise at a lower level. Debt to GDP ratios may not be lower, but as GDP is lower, so too is credit in ...
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News from around the web: 2009-11-14

Edward H. posted an article on - Nov 14, 2009, 3:46 pm
Deluge of Pleas to Spare Oreo, Dog Thrown Off Roof – City Room Blog – NYTimes.com Bob Herbert – A Recovery for Some – NYTimes.com Bair calls U.S. bank bailout not a good thing ...
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If this is recovery…

Edward H. posted an article on - Nov 14, 2009, 2:06 pm
Today, I want to run a few thoughts by you courtesy of John Mauldin.
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